survived under this manager. You must have a really thick skin. You must have a really great way of getting along with people that I donât have.â Because Iâm not sure thatâs the study that drove him from the firm, but he ended up leaving the firm shortly after that.
âI think he felt that if I could survive under her that I could probably survive the rough-and-tumble baseball world. He anticipated some negative reaction to someone like me coming in. He communicated to Bill that this guy, one of his strengths is that heâs got a thick skin and heâs not going to be easily pushed aside by some of the traditional baseball guys.â
Understand this: over the past decade, baseball has come a long way on the idea that those who didnât play the game can eventually run it. When Luhnow was hired, the use of statistical analysis by the Aâs was an anomaly. Now, clubs that donât rely on such analysis are very much the anomaly. Clubs without an analytics department donât exist. Theo Epstein, donât forget, was a widely mocked hire back in 2002. That he was a breakthrough in any number of ways for the sport didnât gain widespread acceptance until he broke a little eighty-six-year-old streak in Boston.
But even today, someone with Jeff Luhnowâs background, brought in with a relatively senior title (vice president of baseball development) and an expansive portfolio, would be looked upon suspiciously by many people within a major league organization.
And this wasnât just a major league organization. This was the St. Louis Cardinals. And while there were a few around whoâd internalized what George Kissell stood forâthe constant innovation that heâd learned from Branch Rickey, the consistent adding to and changing of his manual first scripted decades ago during a snowy Ithaca winterâfor many others, the Cardinals were this static, successful thing.
âWhen you think about the timingâokay?ââ03 was not a great year for us,â Mozeliak told me in a January 2015 interview. âWasnât awful, but wasnât great ⦠and Walt at the time was probably considered one of the top five general managers in the game. And then subsequently, Bill brings in Jeff, and I think Walt had a hard time with that because it wasnât his decision to bring him in. It wasnât necessarily his type of person to be around from a personality standpoint. And now fast-forward from October of â03 to now, say, July of â04, guess what? The St. Louis Cardinals are a pretty damn good baseball team all of sudden. Right? And so I think, in Waltâs case, he was, like, âWe knew what weâre doing.â We subsequently win 105 games. We go on to the World Series. And I think he felt, like, âJeez, maybe we werenât that bad off.ââ
And some guy from McKinsey was going to come along and ruin it.
âBut if you think of it from Jeffâs perspective, that he was brought in by the owner, you know? The owner,â Mejdal, who joined Luhnow with the Cardinals in 2005, told me in an October 2014 interview. âAt a time the team was winning. There werenât many people with his background in baseball at that time. I can say that the resentment of the portrayal of scouts in Moneyball was quite fresh in peopleâs minds. And Jeff was brought into a system that wasnât particularly interested in having him in that system.⦠I think thatâs a description of what ground rules were like when he came in.â
Or as Mozeliak put it, âI donât think Walt trusted him, and I donât think Walt liked him. And from that standpoint, that was where it began.â
Precisely how huge an advantage the Cardinals had just given themselves came into focus early on, in a meeting with the analytics team.
âWhen we first did the retrospective study, I could see the improvement to realize with
Editors Of Reader's Digest, Patricia Halbert